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How Will Conflict in The Middle East Affect Your Energy Contract Rates?

March 13, 2026
Electricity
Business Gas

Jacob Lucas

Account Manager

How Will Conflict in The Middle East Affect Your Energy Contract Rates?

Many business owners may be concerned about how the ongoing conflict in the Middle East could affect the cost of running their business energy supply. Energy prices are closely linked to global events, particularly in regions that play a major role in oil and gas production. When instability occurs, it can influence wholesale energy markets and create uncertainty around future electricity and gas prices.

For businesses with energy contracts due for renewal, or those currently on variable tariffs, these developments can raise questions about how their rates might change in the coming months. Even businesses on fixed-term contracts may be thinking ahead to their next renewal and how global events could affect the options available to them.

In this guide, we explain how conflict in the Middle East can influence energy markets, how your business energy contract rates may be affected and what practical steps you can take to manage potential cost changes. Understanding these factors can help you make more informed decisions when reviewing or renewing your business energy contract.

Understanding how the war affects your energy costs

The Strait of Hormuz, which runs between Iran, the UAE and Oman, is one of the most strategically important shipping routes in the global energy market. Around 20% of the world’s oil supply passes through this narrow waterway, transporting crude oil and petroleum products from major producing countries such as Kuwait, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Bahrain to international markets.

Since the combined attacks by the United States and Israel on Iranian targets, tensions in the region have escalated. Iran has responded with retaliatory actions against neighbouring countries aligned with the United States, as well as targeting cargo ships transporting oil through the Strait of Hormuz. As a result of the security risks and disruption to shipping routes, oil traffic passing through the strait has reportedly fallen by around 90%.

When supply routes are disrupted in this way, the global availability of crude oil tightens. Buyers begin competing for oil from alternative producers and existing reserves, which pushes wholesale prices higher. Because oil and gas markets are closely linked to global energy pricing, increases in oil costs can quickly influence wider energy markets, including the price of electricity and gas used by businesses.

These market pressures are already affecting the way energy suppliers structure their contracts. Several energy providers have begun removing fixed-rate tariff options, meaning fewer opportunities for businesses to lock in stable prices. Instead, more contracts may move towards variable pricing, where the unit cost of energy changes in line with wholesale market movements. For businesses, this can create greater uncertainty around future energy bills and potentially lead to higher operating costs if prices continue to rise.

If your business is already on a fixed-rate energy contract, your supplier should not normally be able to change the agreed unit rates during the contract term. Fixed contracts are designed to provide price certainty for the duration of the agreement, protecting businesses from short-term market volatility. However, it is still advisable to review the terms of your contract carefully, as specific clauses or additional charges may apply depending on the agreement you signed with your supplier. Checking the details of your contract can help you understand exactly what protections are in place and when your rates may change, particularly as you approach your renewal date.

How Business Utility Hub can help

When you speak with Business Utility Hub, we review your current energy contract, usage and renewal dates before comparing suitable options across the business energy market. Our role is to simplify the process, explain your choices clearly and help you secure a contract that fits your business operations and budget. Our advice is always transparent, and our service comes with no upfront cost.

Working with Business Utility Hub means you benefit from:

  • Specialist focus on business energy: we concentrate exclusively on business gas and electricity, giving us a clear view of market movements and supplier pricing.
  • Daily energy price monitoring: we track supplier tariffs and wholesale price changes every day to identify competitive deals as soon as they appear.
  • Transparent advice: our recommendations are based on what works best for your business, with no upfront fees and clear disclosure of commission on request.
  • Dedicated account management: you have one named contact who understands your sites, energy usage and contract timelines.
  • Fast, human support: when you call, you speak directly to a real person - we aim to answer within three rings.
  • Full switching support: we compare the market, explain your options and manage the switching process on your behalf.

By handling the comparison process and overseeing the switch, we help reduce the time businesses spend managing energy contracts while supporting better control over long-term energy costs.

Uncertainty in global energy markets, particularly due to the conflict in the Middle East, may leave many businesses concerned about future energy prices. In periods like this, comparing your options and planning ahead will help you secure a contract that suits your business and avoid exposure to sudden price increases.

To discuss your current energy contract or your wider business energy requirements, contact our team today:

Call: 0800 781 2700
Email: savings@businessutilityhub.co.uk

Compare and switch your business energy today

To review your current energy costs, call 0800 781 2700 or email savings@businessutilityhub.co.uk.
Our team can provide a no-obligation review of your electricity and gas contracts.

Call us now on 0800 781 2700Email our team
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